• ISSN: 2301-3567
    • Frequency: Quarterly (2013-2014); Monthly (Since 2015)
    • DOI: 10.18178/JOEBM
    • Editor-in-Chief: Prof. Eunjin Hwang
    • Executive Editor: Ms Jessica C. Xiao
    • Abstracting/ Indexing: DOAJ, Engineering & Technology Library,  Electronic Journals Library, Ulrich's Periodicals Directory, MESLibrary, Google Scholar, Crossref, and ProQuest.
    • E-mail: joebm@ejournal.net
JOEBM 2016 Vol.4(2): 120-124 ISSN: 2301-3567
DOI: 10.7763/JOEBM.2016.V4.377

Thai’s Country Risk Assessment

B. Saksit and S. Thana
Abstract— There are major public concerns about economics fragility due to country risks in the recent years. It is caused by both internal and external factors. The internal factors are the debt related problems and the political instability while the external problems results from the global financial dynamics through capital mobility. As a results, this paper attempts to identify,measure, and estimate country risk in Thailand from both probability and impacts for socioeconomics policy consideration. The logit and country beta model are applied to Thai’s quarterly data and the evidence indicates strong political risks as well as internal private debt weakening the economy.

Index Terms— Country risk, logit, forecasting.

The authors are with Department of Economics, Kasetsart University, Bangkok, Thailand (e-mail: saksitb@yahoo.com, fecossb@ku.ac.th, thana.sompornserm@gmail.com, thana.s@ku.ac.th).

[PDF]

Cite: B. Saksit and S. Thana, " Thai’s Country Risk Assessment," Journal of Economics, Business and Management vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 120-124, 2016.

Copyright © 2008-2015. Journal of Economics, Business and Management. All rights reserved.
E-mail: joebm@ejournal.net