Abstract—Time series forecasting is an important and widely
interesting topic in the research of system modeling and stock
price forecasting is the most important research issues in time
series forecasting. Accurate stock price forecasting is regarded
as a challenging task of the financial time series forecasting
process., This paper proposes a hybrid time-series adaptive
network based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model based on
empirical mode decomposition (EMD) to forecast stock price
for Taiwan stock exchange capitalization weighted stock index
(TAIEX). In order to evaluate the forecasting performances, the
proposed model is compared with autoregressive (AR) model,
ANFIS model and support vector regression (SVR) model. The
experimental results show that the proposed model is superior
to the listing models in terms of root mean squared error
(RMSE).
Index Terms—Adaptive network based fuzzy inference
system (ANFIS), empirical mode decomposition (EMD),
TAIEX forecasting.
Liang-Ying Wei is with the Department of Information Management,
Yuanpei University, 306 Yuanpei Street, Hsin Chu 30015, Taiwan.(e-amil:
lywei@mail.ypu.edu.tw).
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Cite: Liang-Ying Wei, "A Hybrid Model Based on ANFIS and Empirical Mode
Decomposition for Stock Forecasting," Journal of Economics, Business and Management vol. 3, no. 3, pp. 356-359, 2015.